[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 200231
SPFAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.5N  57.5W      44  X  X  X 44   24.2N  58.5W       1 14  4  2 21
22.3N  58.0W      16  8  1  1 26   BERMUDA            X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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