[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 191452
SPFAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.2N  57.4W      37  X  X  X 37   TAPA 171N 618W     X  2  1  2  5
20.2N  58.0W      22  2  1  1 26   TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  1  1  3
21.7N  58.7W       5 11  3  2 21   TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  1  2  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1  1  1  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART


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