[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 190313
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-191000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1115 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005

...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR COASTAL MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...
MAINLAND MONROE...BROWARD...COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...AND
GLADES COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WATCHES/WARNINGS/STORM INFORMATION
UPDATED WIND IMPACT
UPDATED STORM TIDE/STORM SURGE

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH
SOUTH AND WEST TO CAPE SABLE ON THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. AN
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SECTIONS OF
MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST OR ABOUT 480 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MPH. A GENERAL WEST NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS..

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS
OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE
NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
RITA AND LISTEN TO ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

PERSONS SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AGAINST TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WHICH WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. PERSONS SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED TO QUICKLY IMPLEMENT THEIR
HURRICANE PLAN SHOULD HURRICANE WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WITH THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY...THE MAXIMUM STORM
TIDE...WHICH INCLUDES THE STORM SURGE AND THE HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDE...WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS CAN BE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER PASSES.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE HIGHEST STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6
FEET WILL LIKELY AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY. MAXIMUM
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF BISCAYNE BAY AND POSSIBLY FROM KEY BISCAYNE TO MIAMI
BEACH. STORM TIDE HEIGHTS UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
MIGHT OCCUR OVER THE REMAINDER OF TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS FREQUENTLY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 TO 73 MPH...
WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLAND...PARTICULARLY
OVER MIAMI-DADE AND SOUTHERN BROWARD COUNTY...AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN TO
DECREASE LATER TUESDAY. WINDS OF THIS VELOCITY ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO
BLOW DOWN TREES AND TREE LIMBS WHICH WILL LIKELY AFFECT UTILITY
LINES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE MAXIMUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST RANGES FROM 67 PERCENT IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
TO 55 PERCENT IN BROWARD COUNTY TO 45 PERCENT IN PALM BEACH COUNTY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE NEAR 10 PERCENT IN
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...5 PERCENT IN BROWARD AND 3 PERCENT IN PALM BEACH
COUNTIES.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST ON MONDAY REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF
34 TO 64 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE
SOUTHWEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE WILL INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

SURF ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA OCEAN BEACHES WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY ROUGH ON MONDAY BECOMING VERY ROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AND PERSONS ARE URGED TO SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES OR
REMAIN OUT OF THE WATER.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA DETAILING
THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN MIAMI-DADE AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL IN AREAS FROM BROWARD TO PALM
BEACH COUNTIES AND ALSO IN COLLIER...HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES
SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED EARLY
MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF
RITA. THESE MIGHT OCCUR BEGINNING LATE MONDAY AND CONTINUING MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 600 AM MONDAY.
FOR A GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THIS STATEMENT PLEASE VISIT THE MIAMI
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO OR EN
ESPANOL AT WWW.ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

$$

LUSHINE

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