[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 171435
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.9N  56.9W      50  X  X  X 50   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  7  8 15
16.1N  57.9W      21 10  X  X 31   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  5 10 15
17.3N  58.9W       1 19  4  2 26   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  7  8
TBPB 131N 595W     4  7  1  X 12   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  8  8
TVSV 131N 612W     X  2  2  2  6   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  3  3
TLPL 138N 610W     X  4  4  2 10   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  5  5
TFFF 146N 610W     X  7  4  2 13   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  7  8
TDPR 153N 614W     X  5  6  4 15   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  8  8
80400 157N 636W    X  X  2  6  8   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  5  5
TFFR 163N 615W     X  4  9  4 17   PONCE PR           X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W     X  2 10  6 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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