[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 171431
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

46.4N  59.8W      22  7  X  X 29   HALIFAX NS        44  X  X  X 44
48.8N  53.8W       X 14  4  X 18   SABLE ISLAND NS   21  2  1  X 24
50.5N  47.0W       X  1  9  3 13   SYDNEY NS         25  5  X  X 30
NANTUCKET MA      22  X  X  X 22   EDDY POINT NS     33  1  X  X 34
HYANNIS MA         7  X  X  X  7   PTX BASQUES NFLD  12 13  X  X 25
BAR HARBOR ME      6  X  X  X  6   BURGEO NFLD        5 18  X  1 24
EASTPORT ME       17  X  X  X 17   ILE ST PIERRE      2 19  X  X 21
ST JOHN NB        26  X  X  X 26   CAPE RACE NFLD     X 12  4  X 16
MONCTON NB        26  X  X  X 26   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  9  2 12
YARMOUTH NS       51  X  X  X 51

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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