[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 170930
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET
MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS SHOWING SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION.  IF
THIS TREND CONTINUES... A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM TODAY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... PUERTO RICO... AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED
MILES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED THIS
MORNING AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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