[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 170309
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET
MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM ON SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... PUERTO RICO... AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED
MILES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 200
MILES NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO
GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
5 TO 10 MPH.  INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net