[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 162121
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET
MASSACHUSETTS.

THE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... PUERTO
RICO... AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS NORTHWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
REMAINED MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO GRADUALLY BECOMING
MORE FAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO
10 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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