[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 151430
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.7N  74.3W      39  X  X  X 39   BOSTON MA          X  X  7  5 12
37.1N  73.2W      11  9  1  1 22   PORTLAND ME        X  X  3  7 10
39.2N  70.9W       X  4 10  2 16   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  2  7  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  3  1  1  5   EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  8  9
WILMINGTON NC      5  4  1  1 11   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  9  9
MOREHEAD CITY NC  99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  8  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  9 10
NORFOLK VA        12  6  1  1 20   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  8  8
OCEAN CITY MD      5 11  2  1 19   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   1  8  6  1 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  6  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  4  9  1 14   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1 11  2 14   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  5  5
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  9  3 13   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  9  5 14   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3
HYANNIS MA         X  X  8  5 13   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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