[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 150845
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.7N  74.7W      37  X  X  X 37   BOSTON MA          X  X  6  5 11
37.0N  73.5W      11  8  2  X 21   PORTLAND ME        X  X  3  7 10
39.0N  71.5W       X  4 10  2 16   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  8  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1  3  1  X  5   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  9  9
WILMINGTON NC     10  2  1  X 13   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  8  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC  99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  7  7
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  9  9
NORFOLK VA        15  5  1  X 21   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
OCEAN CITY MD      4 12  2  1 19   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  4  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  9  6  1 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  5  5
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  3  9  2 14   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  9  4 14   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  4  4
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  8  5 13   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  3  3
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  7  6 13   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
HYANNIS MA         X  X  7  5 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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