[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 141427
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.1N  75.9W      34  X  1  X 35   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  5  5 10
35.8N  74.5W      13  5  2  X 20   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  4  5  9
36.8N  72.5W       1  7  5  3 16   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  3  7 10
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   HYANNIS MA         X  X  3  6  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  1  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  2  6  8
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  2  1  4   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  6  7
CHARLESTON SC      2  4  2  1  9   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  6  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC     99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC  62  X  X  X 62   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC  27  1  X  X 28   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA        13  4  2  X 19   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
OCEAN CITY MD      2  8  3  2 15   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  4  6  2 12   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  6  4 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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