[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 140239
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.4N  76.9W      31  1  X  X 32   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  4  6 10
35.1N  75.8W      12  7  1  1 21   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  7  8
35.7N  74.3W       1  8  5  2 16   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  1  1  3   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      8  3  1  X 12   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC   45  X  X  X 45   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC     42  X  1  X 43   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  25  1  1  X 27   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   9  8  2  1 20   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         2  8  5  1 16   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  7  4 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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