[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 132143
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

CORRECTED TIME OF PRODUCT

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 530 PM EDT...2130Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.3N  77.2W      32  X  1  X 33   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  4  6 10
35.2N  76.1W      12  6  2  X 20   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  2  6  8
35.7N  74.7W       2  8  4  2 16   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA        1  2  1  X  4   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC     11  2  1  1 15   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   46  X  X  X 46   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC     40  X  X  X 40   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  21  2  1  1 25   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   8  8  2  1 19   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         2  8  4  2 16   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  6  4 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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