[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 131434
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.9N  77.7W      31  X  1  X 32   NORFOLK VA         1  6  5  3 15
34.9N  76.9W      16  4  1  1 22   OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  3  7 11
35.4N  75.7W       4  8  4  2 18   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  7  8
SAVANNAH GA        6  2  X  1  9   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC     28  X  X  X 28   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC   35  X  1  X 36   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC     28  1  X  1 30   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC  16  4  1  1 22   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   4  8  4  2 18   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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