[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 130832
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.1N  78.2W      67  X  X  X 67   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  8  5  4 17
34.0N  77.8W      26  2  X  X 28   NORFOLK VA         X  2  7  6 15
34.9N  76.9W       5 10  3  2 20   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3  8 11
SAVANNAH GA        2  3  X  2  7   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  6  7
CHARLESTON SC     25  X  X  1 26   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   40  X  X  X 40   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC     22  2  1  X 25   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   6 10  2  2 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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