[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 110841
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.6N  76.2W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      5  8  4  2 19
32.0N  76.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MOREHEAD CITY NC   6  9  3  2 20
32.6N  76.7W      98  X  X  X 98   CAPE HATTERAS NC   2  9  4  2 17
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  3  6  5 14
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  3  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  4  5  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  5  6
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  3  4   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  4  5   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  5  6   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  5  6   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  2  6  9   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      1  4  4  5 14   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    4  6  4  3 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net