[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 110238
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.7N  76.1W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      6  6  4  2 18
32.0N  76.4W      99  X  X  X 99   MOREHEAD CITY NC   3  6  4  3 16
32.4N  76.7W      99  X  X  X 99   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  3  4  5 12
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  7  8
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  4  6   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  4  4  4 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      3  7  4  3 17   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    7  6  4  2 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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