[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 10 09:46:56 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 101446
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  44.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.5N  37.5W      26  1  X  X 27   44.0N  28.0W       X  2 10  X 12
39.5N  32.5W       2 15  1  X 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


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