[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 100851
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  38.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

49.7N  34.1W      30  1  X  X 31   56.6N  28.8W       X  7  5  2 14
54.1N  31.5W       1 15  2  X 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


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