[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 8 21:34:18 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 090233
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

42.3N  42.0W      21  1  X  X 22   47.6N  37.5W       X  7  4  3 14
44.8N  39.5W       5  9  2  X 16   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  1  2  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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