[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 090232
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.6N  78.5W      60  X  X  X 60   CHARLESTON SC      1  7  4  3 15
30.2N  77.8W      34  X  1  X 35   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  7  5  3 15
30.6N  77.0W      17  3  2  1 23   WILMINGTON NC      X  5  5  4 14
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  2  5  6 13
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  4  6 10
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  4  5   NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  5  7
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  2  5  8   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     6  3  2  3 14   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  2  1  4  7   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  3  4
W PALM BEACH FL    6  2  1  3 12   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  4  5
FT PIERCE FL      19  1  X  1 21   VENICE FL          X  X  1  3  4
COCOA BEACH FL    28  X  X  1 29   TAMPA FL           X  1  X  4  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL  19  1  X  1 21   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  3  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    2  3  2  3 10   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        1  4  3  3 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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