[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 082047
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

42.0N  43.0W      20  1  1  X 22   46.0N  38.5W       1  7  3  3 14
44.0N  40.5W       7  6  2  1 16   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  2  1  2  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


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