[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 080631
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
081000-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
230 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2005

...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA MEANDERING AND GETTING A LITTLE STRONGER
OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
COCOA BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DESCRIBES ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN WITHIN VOLUSIA
AND BREVARD COUNTIES. INTERESTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CHECK FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING
OPHELIA DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE STORM.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA. OPHELIA HAS MEANDERED A
LITTLE CLOSER TO THE COAST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT
ESSENTIALLY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
PICKED UP TO NEAR 55 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM
BY LATE THURSDAY...AND REMAIN OFFSHORE. BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE
FORECAST BECOMES HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO KEEP
INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST. REVIEW PERSONAL OR BUSINESS ACTION
PLANS AND REPLENISH HURRICANE SUPPLY KITS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
DUE TO THE STRONG AND PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...ROUGH SURF AND
BREAKING WAVES OF 5 TO 6 FEET WILL BATTER THE BEACHES FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO OCCUR INTO THE WEEKEND.
WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN WORSENING BEACH EROSION AROUND THE TIME OF
EACH SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...LEADING TO A MAJOR
BEACH EROSION EVENT. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND CAPE
CANAVERAL NORTHWARD THROUGH THE VOLUSIA COUNTY BEACHES...WHERE THE
STRONGEST NORTH FLOW AND POUNDING SURF WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL
DAYS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT WITHIN AND NEAR THE WARNING
AREAS. OCCASIONAL HEAVY SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS
NEAR 50 KNOTS WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF COCOA BEACH
OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS OF 10 TO 12 FEET OVERNIGHT...WILL
BUILD UPWARD TO 15 FEET THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. MARINE
INTERESTS FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTH SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE
FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO COCOA BEACH IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO OPHELIA.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS FROM OPHELIA
WILL CONTINUE TO OCCASIONALLY ROTATE ONSHORE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD WHERE A MODERATE
THREAT OF FLOODING EXISTS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM ORLANDO TO CAPE
CANAVERAL. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
FLOODING WILL BE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AS WELL AS LOW LYING
AREAS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY IN PASSING SQUALLS. ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...HEAVY SQUALLS WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH WILL BE MOST COMMON ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD COASTLINE
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. CURRENTLY...THERE ARE NO INLAND WATCHES
OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT TO MOVE
ONSHORE AND PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST FROM
CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THESE HURRICANE THREATS CAN BE VIEWED ON
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE WEB-PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/GHLS/HLS_MAIN.HTML

$$

DWS

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