[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 072043
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
080400-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
443 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2005

...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA
...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AT 500 PM.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
COCOA BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DESCRIBES ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN WITHIN VOLUSIA
AND BREVARD COUNTIES. INTERESTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CHECK FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING
OPHELIA DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE STORM.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. OPHELIA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTH
NORTHWEST MOTION THIS EVENING. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND SOME FURTHER
STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM
BY LATE THURSDAY...AND REMAIN OFFSHORE. BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE
FORECAST BECOMES HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO KEEP
INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST. REVIEW PERSONAL OR BUSINESS ACTION
PLANS AND REPLENISH HURRICANE SUPPLY KITS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WITH THE FORECAST TRACK OF OPHELIA EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE...A
STORM SURGE IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...DUE
TO THE STRONG AND PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...ROUGH SURF AND BREAKING
WAVES OF 5 TO 6 FEET WILL BATTER THE BEACHES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO OCCUR INTO THE WEEKEND. WAVE
ACTION WILL RESULT IN WORSENING BEACH EROSION AROUND THE TIME OF EACH
SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...LEADING TO A MAJOR
BEACH EROSION EVENT. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND CAPE
CANAVERAL NORTHWARD THROUGH THE VOLUSIA COUNTY BEACHES...WHERE THE
STRONGEST NORTH FLOW AND POUNDING SURF WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL
DAYS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. OCCASIONAL HEAVY SQUALLS
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 KNOTS WILL IMPACT THE
COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF COCOA BEACH OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS OF
10 TO 12 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WILL BUILD UPWARD TO 15 FEET
OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS FROM OPHELIA
WILL CONTINUE TO OCCASIONALLY ROTATE ONSHORE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD WHERE A MODERATE
THREAT OF FLOODING EXISTS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM ORLANDO TO CAPE
CANAVERAL. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
FLOODING WILL BE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AS WELL AS LOW LYING
AREAS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY IN PASSING SQUALLS. ON THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...HEAVY SQUALLS WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE MOST COMMON ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD COASTLINE
TONIGHT THROUGH MID DAY THURSDAY. SINCE OPHELIA IS MOVING NEARLY
PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO INLAND WATCHES OR
WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT TO MOVE
ONSHORE AND PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST FROM
CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THESE HURRICANE THREATS CAN BE VIEWED ON
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE WEB-PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/GHLS/HLS_MAIN.HTML

$$

SPRATT

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