[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 7 09:44:06 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 071443
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.2N  47.4W      30  X  X  X 30   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
39.8N  45.0W      13  4  1  1 19   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  2  3  6
41.5N  43.0W       2  8  2  2 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH


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