[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 070955
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
071600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
555 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2005

...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA MAKING NORTHWARD PROGRESS WHILE MOVING
NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS NOW IN
EFFECT AS FAR NORTH AS FLAGLER BEACH. HOWEVER...THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN
INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT EMPHASIZES ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COUNTIES OF MARTIN...SAINT
LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...AND LAKE SHOULD
STAY CLOSELY INFORMED SINCE THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
FORECAST.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST
OF CAPE CANAVERAL. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 8
MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BUT OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY
TODAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM
BY THURSDAY...AND REMAIN OFFSHORE. BEYOND 36 HOURS...THE
FORECAST BECOMES MORE UNCERTAIN. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO KEEP INFORMED
TO THE LATEST FORECAST...SMARTLY MAKING THE ADJUSTMENTS TO THEIR
DAILY AND WEEKLY PLANS. REVIEW PERSONAL OR BUSINESS ACTION PLANS AND
REPLENISH HURRICANE SUPPLY KITS. INITIAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE
FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN THE WATCH AND WARNING
AREAS...RECALLING THAT IT REMAINS PEAK HURRICANE SEASON.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS...ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
THE NEAR SHORE WATERS TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS OPHELIA SLOWS ITS FORWARD SPEED.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 FEET OR HIGHER FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER
BEACH.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS FROM OPHELIA
CONTINUE TO AFFECT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND WILL LIKELY DO SO
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM COCOA BEACH TO ORLANDO. ISOLATED
EVENT TOTALS COULD REACH 6 TO 8 INCHES. AS A RESULT...THERE IS
A MODERATE THREAT FOR FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...ORANGE...AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES. FLOODING
WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN URBAN LOCATIONS...AS WELL AS POORLY
DRAINED AND LOW LYING AREAS THAT ARE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY WITHIN PASSING SQUALLS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS MAY START TO IMPACT PARTS OF THE COASTLINE
EARLY THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR BREVARD COUNTY NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...
AND SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO VOLUSIA NEAR NEW SMYRNA BEACH AND DAYTONA
BEACH. SINCE OPHELIA IS MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
COASTLINE...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO INLAND WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN
EFFECT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE TYPICAL FOR A TROPICAL STORM...BUT
SHOULD NOT BE REALIZED WITH OPHELIA SINCE ITS RIGHT SIDE IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE MARINE AREA. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE
PERSISTENT...LONG FETCH OF INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW...BATTERING WAVES
WILL IMPACT BEACHES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THIS IS LIKELY TO
RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AROUND THE TIME OF EACH HIGH TIDE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...LEADING TO A MAJOR BEACH EROSION EVENT. THE GREATEST
IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE OVER BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...WHERE THE
ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR TWO DAYS OR MORE.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADO...MAINLY
WITHIN THE COASTAL ZONE FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

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