[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 7 03:42:13 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 070841
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT SEP 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.2N  49.7W      25  1  X  X 26   40.4N  45.0W       1  9  2  3 15
38.6N  47.3W      12  4  1  1 18   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  3  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART


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