[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 070231
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.1N  79.3W      76  X  X  X 76   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
28.5N  79.7W      52  X  X  X 52   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
28.8N  80.0W      41  X  X  X 41   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  1  2  4  8
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        1  3  3  4 11
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          1  4  2  4 11
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3   TAMPA FL           3  6  3  3 15
MYNN 251N 775W     1  1  X  4  6   CEDAR KEY FL       2  8  4  3 17
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL        X  4  6  4 14
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  3  4   APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  4  6 12
MIAMI FL           3  2  1  4 10   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  4  6 11
W PALM BEACH FL   19  1  X  1 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  2  5  7
FT PIERCE FL      29  X  1  X 30   MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5
COCOA BEACH FL    30  X  1  X 31   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL  21  2  1  1 25   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    6  8  3  3 20   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  5  5  5 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  3  6 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  4  6 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  5  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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