[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 061646 CCA
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
062230-

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED STORM INFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
OFFSHORE THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST BY TONIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND
IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WHILE SLOWLY STRENGTHENING INTO A TROPICAL
STORM. AS A RESULT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE...INCLUDING ALL OF MERRITT
ISLAND. IF THE DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS AS CURRENTLY FORECAST INTO A
TROPICAL STORM...THE SYSTEM WILL BE NAMED OPHELIA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT EMPHASIZES ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE INTERIOR COUNTIES
OF OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE AND LAKE SHOULD STAY
CLOSELY INFORMED TO THE LATEST FORECAST DUE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY DURING THIS EARLY PHASE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. THE DEPRESSION WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...
BUT A SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE AFFECTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WILL BE FELT INITIALLY
OVER THE MARINE AREA WHERE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
ALL MARINE INTERESTS ARE STRONGLY URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND
TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS WITHIN PORTS AND MARINAS. WITH A SLOW
MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM...CONSIDERABLE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED.

WITH THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST AND TAKING FULL ADVANTAGE OF
THE DAYTIME HOURS...ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD MAKE
INITIAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...AND ASSOCIATED HAZARDS. TO MINIMIZE UNDUE ANXIETY...REVIEW
PERSONAL AND BUSINESS ACTION PLANS...AND REPLENISH HURRICANE SUPPLY
KITS. LATER...IF LOCAL OFFICIALS ASK YOU TO EVACUATE FOR ANY
PARTICULAR REASON...PLEASE DO SO IN A PROMPT AND ORDERLY FASHION. THE
BEST THING THAT CAN BE DONE AT THIS TIME IS TO PREPARE FOR THE
ARRIVAL OF A TROPICAL STORM AND REMAIN DILIGENT IN KEEPING INFORMED.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE WATERS
STARTING THIS EVENING AND WORK NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE
ALREADY 7 TO 9 FEET OVER THE WATERS AND WILL BUILD TONIGHT...WITH
SEAS LIKELY REACHING THE 12 TO 14 FOOT RANGE IN THE WARNED AREA
ON WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS ALL OF THE
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS FROM THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WERE ALREADY AFFECTING COASTAL SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHER...AND
MORE WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS...OF 5 TO 10 INCHES MAY OCCUR
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES AND
CONTINUES TO BE SLOW MOVING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT. ON THE
CURRENT TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY START TO
IMPACT THE COASTLINE EARLY THURSDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE TYPICAL FOR A TROPICAL STORM.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE PERSISTENT...AND INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW...
BATTERING WAVES WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE BEACHES. THIS COULD RESULT IN
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION NEAR THE TIME OF EACH HIGH TIDE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE
NORTH HALF OF THE COAST...ESPECIALLY FOR BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
WHERE THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR 2 DAYS OR MORE. AGAIN...THIS
COULD RESULT IN MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IN SOME AREAS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
AN OFFSHORE ATLANTIC SYSTEM MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
PENINSULA USUALLY RESULTS IN A VERY LOW THREAT FROM TORNADOES
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS. IF A BRIEF TORNADO WERE TO OCCUR...IT WOULD
MOST LIKELY OCCUR WITHIN THE COASTAL ZONE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

RL/DWS



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