[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 6 03:21:37 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 060821
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.0N  67.4W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
29.4N  68.0W      47  X  X  X 47   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
30.3N  68.3W      24  4  1  X 29   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  1  5  6 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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