[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 052040
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.9N  55.0W      27  X  1  X 28   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1  3  4
36.3N  53.4W       9  9  2  X 20   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
37.4N  51.3W       1 10  4  2 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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