[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 052028
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.9N  68.2W      99  X  X  X 99   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
28.0N  69.0W      60  X  X  X 60   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
28.3N  70.0W      33  1  X  X 34   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  5  5
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER MOLLEDA/PASCH


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