[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 050923
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
MARIA... LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY JUST
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA AND OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS
MORNING... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE.
HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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