[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 5 03:38:30 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 050838
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.4N  56.2W      32  1  X  X 33   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
36.0N  54.8W       4 15  1  1 21   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
37.3N  52.9W       X  5  9  3 17   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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