[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 4 21:39:38 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 050239
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.9N  56.7W      43  X  X  X 43   36.7N  54.3W       5 12  3  1 21
35.4N  55.8W      24  3  X  1 28   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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