[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 4 04:32:00 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 040931
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE MARIA... LOCATED ABOUT 645 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA.

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS IS DRIFTING SLOWLY
NORTHWARD. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN
INCREASING THIS MORNING... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED
OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY
STATIONARY SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LARGE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE IS CENTERED ABOUT
950 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY
FROM LAND. WHILE SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED...REDEVELOPMENT INTO
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE SYSTEM MOVING OVER
COOLER WATER.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$
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