[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 040835
SPFAT4
HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.6N  56.6W      40  X  X  X 40   35.2N  55.9W       3 16  2  2 23
33.4N  56.7W      21  7  X  1 29   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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