[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 032037
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.0N  57.0W      32  1  X  X 33   34.0N  58.0W       X 10  8  2 20
32.0N  57.5W       3 18  2  1 24   BERMUDA            X  X  3  3  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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