[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 022034
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON SEP  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.5N  53.3W      39  X  X  X 39   30.0N  55.4W       X 14  6  2 22
28.0N  54.5W       5 22  X  1 28   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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