[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 020832
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.2N  50.9W      39  X  X  X 39   26.8N  53.7W       X 14  5  2 21
25.0N  52.5W       9 15  1  1 26

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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