[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 012018
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 01 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP  4 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  52.0W      50  X  X  X 50   37.5N  52.0W       8  8  3  X 19
35.5N  52.0W      22  2  1  X 25

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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