[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 011441
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU SEP 01 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN SEP  4 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  50.4W      54  X  X  X 54   22.1N  54.0W       X 17 13  1 31
21.2N  52.3W       6 33  X  X 39

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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