[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 280837
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON OCT 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.4N  81.8W      67  X  X  X 67   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  9  9
13.8N  82.4W      45  X  X  X 45   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1 10 11
14.1N  83.1W      31  2  X  1 34   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  2  8  8 18
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  7  8   MNPC 141N 834W    26  3  1  1 31
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  3  3   MNBL 120N 839W     7  4  3  3 17
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W    99  X  X  X 99
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  1  4  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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