[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 280244
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN OCT 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.0N  81.8W      99  X  X  X 99   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1  8  9
13.5N  82.5W      33  1  X  X 34   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  9 10
13.5N  83.5W      21  3  2  1 27   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  2  8  8 18
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  6  7   MNPC 141N 834W    18  7  1  2 28
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  3  3   MNBL 120N 839W    10  4  3  4 21
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W    99  X  X  X 99
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   MRLM 100N 831W     X  1  4  6 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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