[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 27 09:33:56 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 271433
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN OCT 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.4N  81.4W      99  X  X  X 99   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  5  5
12.9N  81.7W      49  X  X  X 49   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  3 10 13
13.3N  82.1W      35  1  X  X 36   MNPC 141N 834W    10 12  2  2 26
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   MNBL 120N 839W     9  6  3  3 21
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  4  4   SKSP 126N 817W    61  X  X  X 61
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  8  8   MRLM 100N 831W     1  1  3  5 10
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  1  1  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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