[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 25 15:29:40 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 252029
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

46.0N  50.5W      30  3  X  X 33   PTX BASQUES NFLD   6  X  X  X  6
46.0N  42.0W       X 13  2  1 16   BURGEO NFLD       14  X  X  X 14
46.0N  34.5W       X  1  7  3 11   ILE ST PIERRE     31  1  X  X 32
SABLE ISLAND NS   47  X  X  X 47   CAPE RACE NFLD    35  X  X  X 35
SYDNEY NS         12  X  X  X 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD   18  9  X  X 27
EDDY POINT NS      9  X  X  X  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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