[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT44 KNHC 252028
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

VISIBLE...INFRARED...AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT WILMA IS
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON.  THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS
WELL NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION...WHICH MAY BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL CENTER.  THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER APEPARS
TO BE MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM
A LOW OFF OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND COLD
AIR AND A COLD FRONT ARE PRESENT SOUTHEAST OF WILMA.  THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 75 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY FROM TAFB AND
RESPECT FOR THE RAPID MOTION.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/46.  WILMA SHOULD TURN EASTWARD AT A
REDUCED FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES IN 72-96 HR.  THE
LARGE-SCALE MODELS LOSE WILMA FASTER THAN THIS...SO THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY DISSIPATION COULD OCCUR EARLIER.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER.  FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER
IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER
HSFAT1.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      25/2100Z 41.7N  62.8W    75 KT
 12HR VT     26/0600Z 44.5N  57.9W    60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     26/1800Z 46.0N  50.5W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     27/0600Z 46.0N  42.0W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     27/1800Z 46.0N  34.5W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     28/1800Z 46.0N  26.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     29/1800Z...DISSIPATED


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