[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 24 21:43:08 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 250242
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.2N  61.3W      27  8  X  X 35   EDDY POINT NS      1  7  2  X 10
44.0N  56.0W       X 19  3  X 22   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  3  4  X  7
46.1N  51.2W       X  2 12  2 16   BURGEO NFLD        X  4  6  1 11
HALIFAX NS         1  4  1  X  6   ILE ST PIERRE      X  8  7  1 16
SABLE ISLAND NS    4 18  X  X 22   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  4 12  1 17
SYDNEY NS          X  8  2  1 11   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  7  6 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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