[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 24 09:59:18 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 241458
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.1N  68.9W      22 10  X  X 32   MONCTON NB         X  2  3  X  5
42.1N  61.6W       X 16  6  1 23   YARMOUTH NS        X  5  2  1  8
44.9N  55.7W       X  1 13  2 16   HALIFAX NS         X  7  6  X 13
MYGF 266N 787W    72  X  X  X 72   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  8 11  X 19
MARATHON FL        9  X  X  X  9   SYDNEY NS          X  2 11  1 14
MIAMI FL          99  X  X  X 99   EDDY POINT NS      X  4 10  1 15
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  1  9  1 11
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   BURGEO NFLD        X  X 10  3 13
COCOA BEACH FL    15  X  X  X 15   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X 12  3 15
CAPE HATTERAS NC   2  X  X  X  2   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  7  7 14
NANTUCKET MA       X  3  X  X  3   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1 10 11
HYANNIS MA         X  2  X  X  2   MARCO ISLAND FL   99  X  X  X 99
EASTPORT ME        X  2  1  X  3   FT MYERS FL       99  X  X  X 99
ST JOHN NB         X  2  2  X  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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