[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 241437
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

ALPHA CONTINUES TO SHOW CURVED LOW CLOUD LINES WITH A PATCH OF
CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE APPARENT CENTER.  HOWEVER...
MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES DO NOT DEFINITIVELY SHOW A CLOSED
CIRCULATION AS THE CYCLONE MOVES NORTHWARD ON THE EAST SIDE OF
HURRICANE WILMA.  THIS ADVISORY WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A 30 KT
DEPRESSION BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...
SAB...AND AFWA.  HOWEVER...IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION DOES NOT BECOME
MORE APPARENT...ADVISORIES COULD BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/17.  ALPHA SHOULD ACCELERATE TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HR BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY THE
LARGER AND MORE POWERFUL WILMA APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      24/1500Z 25.9N  72.2W    30 KT
 12HR VT     25/0000Z 31.0N  70.6W    30 KT
 24HR VT     25/1200Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE WILMA


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